Archive for Commodities Research’ Category

Generate Steady, More Reliable Income with Option Premium Ladders
May

15

2018

Generate Steady, More Reliable Income with Option Premium Ladders

Staggering expirations is a cornerstone you need to Build a Consistently Productive Account “I want to make money with the least risk, least stress, least drawdowns and most consistency that it can be done.” Investing for Return, Not Excitement Riding a Roller Coaster may be a fun time with your kids. But it’s likely not the experience you are seeking with your Option Selling Portfolio….

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Taking Cash Off the Cob in Corn
Apr

25

2018

Taking Cash Off the Cob in Corn

Corn is a market with strong seasonal tendencies. Here is how you can take advantage of them this month While it may not seem like it to those in the North, summer is just around the corner. It won’t be long before the barbeque grills fire up and we’ll be eating fresh corn on the cob. Option Sellers, however, may not need to wait that…

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Seasonal Tendencies: The Option Seller’s Ace in the Hole
Apr

10

2018

Seasonal Tendencies: The Option Seller’s Ace in the Hole

Seasonal tendencies of commodities are one of your biggest advantages over stock traders. Here is how to use it to target bigger gains with higher probabilities. One of the biggest advantages held by commodities investors over stock investors is the seasonal tendency. Nearly non-existent in stocks, they are prevalent in commodities and available to anyone who takes the time to look them up. But what…

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The FUDOM Method of Selling Options
Mar

20

2018

The FUDOM Method of Selling Options

How to sell options with the highest odds of Expiring Worthless What is FUDOM? Opposite of what Most Option Books Teach Example: FUDOM vs. “Book Knowledge” Option Selling JULY COFFEE   Dr. John sells a July Coffee 2.15 call and 1.80 put – it’s how he was “taught” to sell options. The Problem JULY COFFEE   Coffee rallies then falls. Both of Dr. John’s options…

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Feb

5

2018

How to Get Real Diversification in your Portfolio: The 6 Alternative Investments You MUST Know About

Click To Read Video Transcript (Video Transcript) Hi. This is Michael Gross, co-author of “McGraw-Hill’s The Complete Guide to Option Selling” and also director of research here at OptionSellers.com. I'm here with your bi-monthly video lesson. The topic of this month's lesson is “Real Diversification” and we're going to go off the grid a little bit here this week and talk about something that's on...

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Bearish Wheat Presents High-Odds Playing Field for Call Sellers
Jan

23

2018

Bearish Wheat Presents High-Odds Playing Field for Call Sellers

Record Global Ending Stocks Make Out of the Money Call Strikes look Expensive – Despite Volatility While selling options on commodities contracts may sound like an exotic and/or glamorous investment strategy, in reality it’s more show up for work and follow a formula. The Formula is called FUDOM* and its steps are simple: Find a Market with Clear Fundamentals – Bullish or Bearish Sell Deep…

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The Iron Condor – Like You’ve Never Seen It
Dec

18

2017

The Iron Condor – Like You’ve Never Seen It

Stock option traders have one set of rules for writing Condors. Once you graduate to commodities, some of those rules don’t have to apply anymore. Lucky you! In doing some initial research for this piece, I did a bit of internet surfing over a weekend to see what kind of option “knowledge” is being peddled to the public these days. The good news is, there…

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30 Years Later: Can “Black Monday” Still Happen Today?
Nov

20

2017

30 Years Later: Can “Black Monday” Still Happen Today?

You Bet it Can. How to Protect Yourself with a Cup of Coffee. It’s October 19th, 1987. On the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, traders scurry about the floor, readying for the market’s 9:30 am open. Art Cashin, head of floor operations for PaineWebber turns to John Phelan, chairman of the Big Board. “Morituri te salutant,” he mutters. Translation: “We who are about…

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Call Premiums Still Inflated in Bearish Natural Gas Market
Oct

13

2017

Call Premiums Still Inflated in Bearish Natural Gas Market

Historic Volatility in Natural Gas is offering some attractive opportunities for “Fading the Herd” this Autumn “Buy Natural Gas heading into winter.” Its an old trading axiom that seems to make perfect sense. After all, colder weather should increase demand, making prices go up. It only makes sense to buy heading into winter and hold on for all of those easy profits, right? Wrong. Such…

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Post Harvest Soybeans Offer Potentially Double Premiums for Option Sellers
Oct

12

2017

Post Harvest Soybeans Offer Potentially Double Premiums for Option Sellers

With Bearish Fundamentals Now Clashing with a Bullish Seasonal Tendency – Sellers of Options can Rake in Premium on Both sides of the Market If you’ve followed our blog or the O.S.com newsletter for any period of time, you know that seasonal tendencies in commodities can be a great place to start when identifying premium collection opportunities. Nowhere is this more true than in the…

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Crude Oil Opportunity: Hurricanes Harvey and Irma Do Not Change Fundamentally Bearish Picture for Call Sellers
Sep

7

2017

Crude Oil Opportunity: Hurricanes Harvey and Irma Do Not Change Fundamentally Bearish Picture for Call Sellers

Crude Oil Opportunity: Hurricanes Harvey and Irma Do Not Change Fundamentally Bearish Picture for Call Sellers Despite recent media coverage of hurricanes, North Korea and other news, the crude market remains deliciously ripe for call sellers By: James Cordier Yikes! Atlantic Hurricanes? “Prices will Soar!” North Korean Missiles? “Stock up on Oil!” Heating Season on the Way? “Buy it all!” Oil bulls never seem to…

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“Freeze Season” in Coffee is Opportunity for Call Sellers in 2017
Aug

15

2017

“Freeze Season” in Coffee is Opportunity for Call Sellers in 2017

With the 2017 Brazilian Harvest Wrapping up and a potentially record crop next year, a supply burden should keep prices in check into next year If you’re a mainstream investor used to gauging P/E ratios or milling through bond yields, selling options on coffee futures may sound like launching a trip to the moon. “Soft” commodities are also sometimes referred to as “exotics” – most…

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Summer Weather Rally Pumps Up Call Premiums in Corn, Soybeans
Jul

14

2017

Summer Weather Rally Pumps Up Call Premiums in Corn, Soybeans

Despite Dry Weather in the Northern Plains, Fundamentals Remain Bearish In both our corn and soybean articles from May and June, we highlighted a burdensome supply picture. However, you might have noticed that for both markets, we suggested summer weather rallies might offer opportunities for selling inflated call premium. If you’ve been waiting for one of those, you now have it. Over the past 2…

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Despite Weather Talk, Selling Calls Should Still be Solid Yield Builder in Supply Laden Corn
Jul

14

2017

Despite Weather Talk, Selling Calls Should Still be Solid Yield Builder in Supply Laden Corn

The Usual Weather Hoopla is Will Likely be Putting some Premium back into Call Options – a near perfect recipe for fundamentally focused option writers (Note to Readers: Since the original publication of this piece (in the July Option Seller Newsletter) Corn prices have climbed over 10% on a weather rally, and subsequently fallen back again. As the December calls in the article are no…

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